It has been predicted that Russia will increase its confrontation with Ukraine and/or the western nations that support it as its war on Ukraine goes on, according to certain experts.
This tactic is known as “escalate to de-escalate,” according to former D.I.A. officer Rebekah Koffler on Fox News. Russian military planning is based on the same concept, according to Koffler, but it has origins in Russia’s preparations for a conflict with the United States.
First, “popping” “a low-yield tactical nuke assuming that it’s going to be a psychological shock, the combat would stop,” claimed Koffler in a hypothetical confrontation with the United States.
According to Koffler, if the Ukrainians continue to fight the Russian invasion, this might mean that Russia will use traditional weaponry to crush cities like Kyiv.
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A nuclear-capable missile loaded with a conventional payload might be launched at Kyiv by Russian President Vladimir Putin using mercenaries to hunt down Ukrainian leaders. Atrocities against people could get worse before being carried out. That strategy would be designed to confuse the West and demonstrate Putin’s determination to win the conflict.
According to Koffler, Putin may have raised Russia’s nuclear danger in order to terrify Ukraine’s western friends, and Russia may launch a cyber-warfare campaign against the West as a result of this increase in nuclear threat.
As a result, all of this would be aimed towards weakening Ukraine and the West until they agreed to Russia’s demands and de-escalated the conflict.
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“Our population pressure is expected to force Biden’s administration to back down and put pressure on Zelensky to say, “You need to give up.” He thinks that the American people have a poor tolerance for inconveniences, especially when it comes to Ukraine “That’s what Koffler has said.
“So that describes it,” she replied. “We de-escalate when he escalates.”
‘Either by design… or by mistake,’ says former senior Pentagon official James Anderson, there is an actual ‘potential for escalation’ in the Ukraine war. According to Anderson, anything is conceivable in the digital realm.
If he keeps doing what he’s been doing conquering sovereign nations, it’s not out of the question, according to Anderson. Because of the possibility of Russian cyberattacks against the United States and its allies, this crisis has taken on a new layer of ambiguity.”
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As Anderson put it, the goal would be to “use every trick in the book” to demoralize the West. According to Anderson, this may also include short-term truces and on-and-off diplomacy targeted at reducing morale.
While some experts believe Putin is following the standard escalate-de-escalate strategy, former CIA station chief Dan Hoffman disagrees.
This “is not quite that straightforward to throw it in the typical basket of escalating, de-escalating,” Hoffman added. “190,000 troops were stationed around the border as a result of his actions. If he had de-escalated, he could have achieved nearly all of his objectives. It wasn’t him.”
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